BACKGROUND / RATIONALE
Ethiopia has long history of preparing and implementing comprehensive and robust planning for economic and social development that dates back to the 1950’s with the launch and implementation of the three-five years national development plans exercised during 1957 – 1973. The central planning exercise continued through the early 1990’s in the national development campaigns including the formulation of a ten year perspective plan (1984/85 – 1993/94) which was largely aborted owing to the then protracted civil war that culminated to the down fall of the socialist regime in 1991.
Poverty reduction and its ultimate eradication has been the overriding development agenda of the Government since 1991. Thus macroeconomic and sector polices, strategies and programs have been geared towards addressing the poverty agenda. Formulation and implementation of the sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction Program (SDPRP) spanning 2002/03 – 2004/05 was the first comprehensive national development program implemented and one of the key lessons drawn from its implementation was the need for formulation of longer term perspective development plan from which medium tern national development plans could be cascaded and implemented.
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OBJECTIVES OF THE SERVICE / WORK
The principal objective of this assignment is to lead and coordinate the drafting of well-researched background papers on six thematic areas, namely, macroeconomic framework, energy sector development, industrial development, agricultural policy and development, transport sector and the human resources development in Ethiopia. Findings of these studies will inform formulation of the 15-year perspective plan that spans from 2015/16 to 2029/30 which is aligned to Agenda 2030 and agenda 2063 and guides the country’s transformation to a middle-income country.
The typology of the studies must draw the development experience of fast growing economies of South East Asia such as Singapore, Malaysia, South Koria and Vietnam which demonstrated the efficacy of long-term Perspective Plans as key instrument for an integrated and coordinated management and implementation of a market economic system. It would also help the private sector and other non-state actors to design long term investment polices strategies and programs that are aligned and complementary to the public sector policies and strategies. Although this 15-year perspective plan is a 10 years extension of the GTP II, there is a need to review the rationales, objectives, and strategic pillars of GTP Ii in the context of the perspective plan to sharpen policies and strategies aimed at addressing development bottlenecks identified in GTP I and development challenges during GTP II and beyond.
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SCOPE OF THE SERVICE / WORK
Macro-Economist/ Team Leader
The 15 years perspective plan is expected to articulate long term macroeconomic framework that include setting baselines and targets for key macroeconomic variables: Real sector(supply and demand side projections), fiscal projection (government revenue and expenditure by major components, budget deficit and its financing ), monetary aggregates (money supply and demand projections by major monetary aggregates). This exercise need to be complemented by review of recent performance at both macro and sectorial levels as well as overview of envisaged polices and strategies that will help to build alternative growth scenarios with plausible and solid assumptions.
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EXPECTED OUTPUTS / DELIVERABLES
The expected outputs or deliverables are six independent study reports on the six thematic areas: namely
MINIMUM ORGANIZATION REQUIREMENTS
The prospective Service Provider is expected to meet the following minimum requirements:
The multi-disciplinary team should comprise members with the following educational qualifications and experience:
BID SUBMISSION INSTRUCTION:
The following proposals must be prepared as per the prescribed standard format indicated in the respective RFP Bid Document. The Proposals shall be submitted before application deadline September 27, 2016 via UNDP Ethiopia Secured mail address: email@example.com
Please note that these proposals shall be submitted to the designated secured email into two files but in one email unless both Files are Greater than 9MB file size
EMAIL SUBJECT LINE WHILE SUBMITTING PROPOSAL: